Show Notes

Host: Ryan Harris

Guests: Brian LaMarre, NWS Meteorologist in Charge, Tampa Bay

Description: In 1900, an estimated 8,000 people lost their lives in the Great Galveston Hurricane that September. Our understanding of hurricane risk has improved immensely since then, but still over 100 were killed just 18 months ago in Hurricane Ian. Risk is defined as the probability of some hazard occurring multiplied by the impact that hazard may have on an individual, population, or system. The first problem here is that humans don't always understand probabilities, and the second problem is that humans have a psychological bias to downplay or plain ignore the risk of hazards because they haven't personally experienced the hazard before. Hurricane Ian was a perfect example of poor risk perceptions, and it's the first topic we uncover this year as Brian LaMarre from the National Weather Service joins The Triple Pointâ„¢. Hear about how the Weather Service is improving risk perceptions with better technology and communications strategies, and also the importance of personal accountability and trusting authoritative sources. LISTEN HERE


Weather and climate in the news


Introducing Brian LaMarre


El Nino's outsized effects on global and regional weather patterns


Structure and purpose of the National Weather Service


Communicating and understanding risk using Hurricane Ian as a good (or bad) example


Getting beyond the lived experience and breaking down risk perception barriers


Hazard response starts with personal accountability, trusting skilled practitioners, and community collaboration


Advice for up and coming meteorologists


Prediction Time: water impacts


Lightning Round